George Saunders

It would be so weird if we knew just as much as we needed to know to answer all the questions of the universe. Wouldn't that be freaky? Whereas the probability is high that there is a vast reality that we have no way to perceive, that's actually bearing down on us now and influencing everything.

American Writer

John Hull

One important measurement issue concerns the fat tails problem that I mentioned earlier. VAR is concerned with extreme outcomes. If the tails of the probability distributions we are using are too thin, our VAR measures are likely to be too low.

Mathematician

Stephen Hawking

We think that life develops spontaneously on Earth, so it must be possible for life to develop on suitable planets elsewhere in the universe. But we don't know the probability that a planet develops life.

English Physicist

Nellie Bly

They were being driven to a prison, through no fault of their own, in all probability for life. In comparison, how much easier it would be to walk to the gallows than to this tomb of living horrors!

American Journalist

Paul DePodesta

The nice thing about baseball is that all of the possible outcomes are known - it's not quite as messy as the real world. That makes the game an excellent playground for probability.

American Businessman

Laura Ingraham

Hope is not the basis for policy. Wise policymakers analyze major issues such as immigration carefully and look at facts and probabilities instead of just hoping for the best.

American Celebrity

Robert J. Shiller

We don't know the probabilities of future events. Still, you have to take action, and so you do it on gut feeling. That's the world we live in.

American Economist

Elon Musk

I'm trying to construct a world that maximises the probability that SpaceX continues its mission without me.

South African Businessman

Joseph Butler

But to us, probability is the very guide of life.

English Clergyman

Walter Bagehot

English Author

Used in casual conversations about events that may or may not occur.

Everyday Use

Probability can express a quantified chance, often as a fraction or percentage.

Quantifiable

Indicates uncertainty, that something might happen, but it's not guaranteed.

Not Certainty

Refers to the study of probability as part of higher education or research.

Academic Field

Used in contexts where the likelihood of different scenarios is modelled.

Predictive Model

Related to making informed predictions based on data analysis.

Scientific Analysis

Probability based on collected data represents real-world observations.

Data-Driven

The calculated probability may differ from the actual outcomes.

Math Vs. Reality

Used with specific terms in statistics, like 'marginal' or 'conditional' probability.

Statistical Terms

 These days scientists know how you inherit characteristics from your parents. They're able to calculate probabilities of having a specific trait or getting a genetic disease according to the information from the parents and the family history. But how is this possible? To understand how traits pass from one living being to its descendants,

How Mendel's pea plants...

 miraculous well no as you said before it's just a random set of cards what if it was first six digits of your social security number what if it were the last six digits of your social security number the first six digits of your phone number sometimes it's not actually miraculous sometimes it's just probability playing its tricks on you

Miracle, Luck or Chance?...

 higher probability of those cells mutating and becoming cancerous and that's why we associate cancer with older age today but in the past we're finding that a high number of middle-aged adults for developing cancer and this raises some interesting questions to answer questions like these

Paleo-oncology: The...

 We can clearly identify features of the wave pattern as a whole, most importantly, its wavelength, which is the distance between two neighboring peaks, or two neighboring valleys. But we can't assign it a single position. It has a good probability of being in lots of different places.

What is the Heisenberg...

 So the question is, how far are we from being able to match those tricks? A couple of years ago, we did a survey of some of the world's leading A.I. experts, to see what they think, and one of the questions we asked was, "By which year do you think there is a 50 percent probability

What happens when our...

 Recent studies have also found a link between obesity and variations in the bacteria species that live in our digestive systems. No matter the cause, obesity is an escalating global epidemic. It substantially raises the probability of diseases, like diabetes, heart disease,

What is obesity? - Mia...

 the frequency of a specific outcome, like a player two win, will approach its theoretical probability, that value we got by writing down all the possibilities and counting up the ones for each outcome. So, if you sat on that desert island playing dice forever,

The last banana: A...

 Because of these interactions, knowing both parents' blood types lets us predict the relative probability of their children's blood types. Why do blood types matter? For blood transfusions, finding the correct one is a matter of life and death.

Why do blood types...

 The point is that information affects probability. And conditional probability isn't just the stuff of abstract mathematical games. It pops up in the real world, as well. Computers and other devices use conditional probability

Can you solve the frog...

 there was quite a backlash from mainstream climate science to be talking about these high impact events possibly because many people assume they were be of low probability but there's a lot more interest in them now

Probability

Everyday Use

Quantifiable

Not Certainty

Compare with

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