
An educated guess
Knowledge-Based
Use 'an educated guess' when you draw conclusions from your knowledge or past experiences.

I don't have the report, but based on sales trends, my educated guess is we've improved our market share.
Not Certain
'An educated guess' indicates you're not 100% certain, but you believe your assumption is close to reality.

Without seeing the essay, I can make an educated guess that it discusses historical causes.
Formal Conversations
It's more appropriate in formal settings where stating assumptions with some basis is necessary.

An educated guess suggests the merger will happen within the next fiscal year.
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